FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report Part III, No.2, August 2001 NAMIBIA 32

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NAMIBIA

Area:
823 000 sq.km
Climate:
Mostly arid (south-west and coast) or semi-arid. Only north and north-east gets regular rainfall in November-April
Population:
1.74 million (2000 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$1 890 (1999)
Specific characteristics of the country:
Arid to semi-arid country; cereal production mainly in the north
Logistics:
Good road and railway network
Major foodcrops:
Millet, maize, sorghum, wheat
Marketing year:
May/April;
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:
48 percent

CURRENT SITUATION

A delay in the start of the rainy season, coupled with severe dry weather in January and first dekad of February in the major cereal growing areas of the north, resulted in planting reductions and poor yields. Maize production in 2001 is tentatively estimated at 45 percent below the satisfactory harvest of last year at 27 000 tonnes. Production is also 10 percent lower than the average of the past five years. Estimates of the sorghum/millet harvest, accounting for two-thirds of the total cereal production, are not yet available, but the output is expected to decline from the below-normal level of last year.

As a result of the sharply reduced maize harvest, imports of coarse grains in marketing year 2001/02 (April/March) are projected at 54 000 tonnes. In addition, the country needs to import 45 000 tonnes of wheat, the crop for which it has a structural deficit. Although all import requirements are expected to be covered on commercial basis, the food supply situation is anticipated to be very tight for small farmers who experienced crop failure this season.

CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2001/02 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)

 
Wheat
Rice
Coarse grains
Total
Previous five years average production
5
-
101
106
Previous five years average imports
39
-
65
104
2001/02 Domestic Availability
5
-
93
98
2001 Production (rice in paddy terms)
5
-
85
90
2001 Production (rice in milled terms)
5
-
85
90
Possible stock drawdown
-
-
8
8
2001/02 Utilization
50
-
147
197
Food use
50
-
137
187
of which: local purchase requirement
-
-
-
-
Non-food use
-
-
10
10
Exports or re-exports
-
-
-
-
Possible stock build up
-
-
-
-
2001/02 Import Requirement
45
-
54
99
Anticipated commercial imports
45
-
54
99
Food aid needs
-
-
-
-
Current Aid Position
       
Food aid pledges
-
-
-
-
of which: delivered
-
-
-
-
Donor-financed purchases
-
-
-
-
of which: for local use
-
-
-
-
for export
-
-
-
-
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year)
26
-
71
97
Indexes
       
2001 Production as % of average:
     
85
2001/02 Import requirement as % of average:
     
95

FAO/GIEWS - August 2001

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