FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report Part III, No.2, August 2001 MOZAMBIQUE 31

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MOZAMBIQUE

Area:
784 000 sq.km
Climate:
Tropical wet-dry; coast is semi-arid
Population:
17.24 million (2000 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$230 (1999)
Specific characteristics of the country:
Low-income food-deficit country; exposed to tropical storms and cyclones
Logistics:
Dilapidated rail and road transport fleet; lack of fuel and spares; poor roads; substantial
Deliveries by coastal vessels
Major foodcrops:
Roots, tubers, maize
Marketing year:
April/March; Lean season: February-April
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:
53 percent

CURRENT SITUATION

Harvesting of the 2001 cereal crops is complete. An estimate of production is still not available. However, preliminary indications point to a maize output around or slightly above last year's good crop of 1 million tonnes. This reflects an increase of 10 percent in the area planted and generally favourable rains in the main growing areas, despite localized floods.

Torrential rains in January and February, as well as high levels of the Zambezi River, resulted in severe floods in central provinces of Zambesia, Sofala, Manica and Tete. About 77 000 hectares of foodcrops were lost to the floods. Outside the flooded areas, the excessive rains are likely to have resulted in yield reductions. In main growing northern provinces, abundant and well distributed rains favoured cereal crop development and a good output is expected. By contrast, in southern provinces of Maputo, Gaza and Inhambane, a prolonged mid-season dry spell in January severely reduced yields of maize and bean crops. In these provinces, which were the worst affected by floods last year, food production is anticipated to be poor for the second consecutive year.

Overall, a satisfactory 2001 cereal production is expected. Cassava production is also anticipated to be good. Reflecting the arrival of the new harvest onto the markets, maize prices have declined in the main markets, and are below their level of a year ago.

CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2001/02 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)

 
Wheat
Rice
Coarse grains
Total
Previous five years average production
-
170
1 407
1 577
Previous five years average imports
174
72
40
286
2001/02 Domestic Availability
-
118
1 406
1 524
2001 Production (rice in paddy terms)
-
165
1 406
1 571
2001 Production (rice in milled terms)
-
110
1 406
1 516
Possible stock drawdown
-
8
-
8
2001/02 Utilization
227
258
1 511
1 996
Food use
212
242
1 142
1 596
of which: local purchase requirement
-
-
-
-
Non-food use
10
16
264
290
Exports or re-exports
-
-
100
100
Possible stock build up
5
-
5
10
2001/02 Import Requirement
227
140
105
472
Anticipated commercial imports
95
130
75
300
Food aid needs
132
10
30
172
Current Aid Position
       
Food aid pledges
133
-
-
133
of which: delivered
-
-
-
-
Donor-financed purchases
-
-
-
-
of which: for local use
-
-
-
-
for export
-
-
-
-
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year)
12
14
65
90
Indexes
       
2001 Production as % of average:
     
100
2001/02 Import requirement as % of average:
     
165

FAO/GIEWS - August 2001

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