FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report Part III, No.2, August 2001 SOMALIA 40

Previous PageList of CountriesNext Page


SOMALIA

Area:
627 000 sq.km
Climate:
Semi-arid in the south; rest arid
Population:
6.20 million (2001 estimate); G.N.P. per caput; n.a.
Specific characteristics of the country:
Low-income food-deficit country
Logistics:
Inadequate port facilities; serious shortage of fuel and spare parts
Major foodcrops:
Maize, sorghum, sesame
Marketing year:
August/July; Lean season: June-August
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:
45 percent

CURRENT SITUATION

Prospects for the 2001 main "Gu" cereal crops, now being harvested, are poor. Erratic and below-normal rains in the main growing areas in the south have reduced soil moisture for growing crops. Preliminary forecasts point to a sorghum output of about one-third the previous year's "Gu" production and less than half of the post-war average. Most affected regions include, rainfed areas of Gedo, Hiran, Bay and Bakool. However, good maize production is anticipated in the irrigated areas of Juba and Shabelle valleys.

Despite the good harvests in the last two cropping seasons, severe food difficulties may emerge reflecting slow household recovery from the earlier succession of droughts and long-term effects of years of insecurity. Moreover, further injections of new currency into the market with the attendant depreciation of the Somali Shilling have caused a sharp increase in prices of food items eroding the purchasing power of large sections of the population.

Elsewhere, in northern Somalia, pasture conditions have deteriorated due to poor rains. The ban of livestock imports from eastern Africa by countries along the Arabian Peninsula due to a Rift Valley fever has caused substantial loss of income and has affected the livelihoods of a large number of pastoral households. Some livestock marketing activities, chilled meat and exports to the United Arab Emirates (UAE), have created income generating opportunities and strengthened the Somali Shilling. However, the UAE accounts for only 2 percent of the total Somali livestock exports to countries along the Arabian Peninsula and the food security impact of lifting the ban is expected to be limited.

In response to anticipated poor harvests, dwindling stocks and inadequate relief food in the pipeline, WFP and other humanitarian agencies have appealed to the international community for additional food assistance. Earlier in the year a UN inter-agency appeal was launched for US $130 million, to support livelihoods and assist the country's recovery.

CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2001/02 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)

 
Wheat
Rice
Coarse grains
Total
Previous five years average production
-
2
267
269
Previous five years average imports
113
94
56
263
2001/02 Domestic Availability
5
1
225
231
2001 Production (rice in paddy terms)
-
2
190
192
2001 Production (rice in milled terms)
-
1
190
191
Possible stock drawdown
5
-
35
40
2001/02 Utilization
105
91
345
541
Food use
105
81
310
496
of which: local purchase requirement
-
-
-
-
Non-food use
-
10
35
45
Exports or re-exports
-
-
-
-
Possible stock build up
-
-
-
-
2001/02 Import Requirement
100
90
120
310
Anticipated commercial imports
100
75
50
225
Food aid needs
-
15
70
85
Current Aid Position
       
Food aid pledges
-
-
-
-
of which: delivered
-
-
-
-
Donor-financed purchases
-
-
-
-
of which: for local use
-
-
-
-
for export
-
-
-
-
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year)
17
13
49
78
Indexes
       
2001 Production as % of average:
     
71
2001/02 Import requirement as % of average:
     
118

FAO/GIEWS - August 2001

Previous PageTop Of PageList of CountriesNext Page