FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report Part III, No.2, August 2001 SOUTH AFRICA 41

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SOUTH AFRICA

Area:
1.22 million sq.km
Climate:
Sub-tropical with rains concentrated in the summer months (November-April); occasional snow in winter over higher parts of plateau and Cape ranges; an average of 120 days frost in the interior plateau
Population:
40.38 million (2000 estimate); GNP per caput US$3 160 (1999)
Specific characteristics of the country:
Normally net food exporter, notably maize
Logistics:
Adequate port, rail and road facilities
Major foodcrops:
Maize, wheat
Marketing year:
May/April; Lean season: February-April
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:
54 percent

CURRENT SITUATION

Harvesting of the 2001 coarse grains, mainly maize, is complete. Latest production forecasts indicate a maize output of 7.2 million tonnes. At this level, production is one-third below the bumper crop of last year and well below the average of the past five years. The reduced harvest reflects a decrease of 17 percent in the area sown, due to low domestic prices at planting time, as well as unfavourable weather during the season. Poor rains and high temperatures in January and early February, particularly in the main western growing areas, stressed the developing maize crop. Subsequent abundant rains arrived too late to prevent sharp yield reductions.

Despite the sharp decline in production, the country still has an exportable surplus of about 500 000 tonnes of maize, as a result of large carry-over stocks estimated at 2.6 million tonnes.

CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2001/02 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)

 
Wheat
Rice
Coarse grains
Total
Previous five years average production
2 178
3
9 904
12 085
Previous five years average exports
146
-
1 274
1 420
2001/02 Domestic Availability
1 863
100
9 120
11 083
2001 Production (rice in paddy terms)
1 713
-
7 665
9 378
2001 Production (rice in milled terms)
1 713
-
7 665
9 378
Possible stock drawdown
150
100
1 455
1 705
2001/02 Utilization
2 663
100
9 266
12 029
Food use
2 450
100
4 612
7 162
of which: local purchase requirement
-
-
-
-
Non-food use
163
-
4 154
4 317
Exports or re-exports
50
-
500
550
Possible stock build up
-
-
-
-
2001/02 Import Requirement
800
-
146
946
Anticipated commercial imports
-
-
-
-
Food aid needs
-
-
-
-
Current Aid Position
       
Food aid pledges
-
-
-
-
of which: delivered
-
-
-
-
Donor-financed purchases
-
-
-
-
of which: for local use
-
-
-
-
for export
-
-
-
-
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year)
60
2
113
175
Indexes
       
2001 Production as % of average:
     
78
2001/02 Import requirement as % of average:
     
67

FAO/GIEWS - August 2001

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