FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.3, December 2001 TANZANIA 44

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TANZANIA

Area:

886 000 sq.km

Climate:

Tropical wet-dry climate with two rainy seasons in north (November-December and March-May) and one in south (November-April)

Population:

33.93 million (2001 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$280 (2000)

Specific characteristics of the country:

Low-income food-deficit country; cereal surplus production in south and south-west; cereal deficit in central and north-west. Distribution difficulties

Logistics:

Serious shortage of rolling stock, fuel and spare parts

Major foodcrops:

Maize, roots, tubers, sorghum, pulses, plantains, rice

Marketing year:

June/May; Lean season: February-April

Share of cereals in total calorie intake:

60 percent


CURRENT SITUATION


Planting of the 2002 main season cereal crops in the unimodal central and southern areas, as well as that of 2001/02 short season ("Vuli" ) crops in bi-modal northern areas, is underway. With normal to above normal rainfall predicted for the period September to December in most parts of the country, prospects are generally favourable.

The 2001 cereal crop, mainly maize, is estimated at about 4 million tonnes, 14 percent above last year's crop but slightly below the previous five years average. The Strategic Grain Reserve (SGR) has purchased about 56 percent of the target purchase of 25 000 tonnes for the marketing year 2001/02 (June/May) bringing total stocks to 59 000 tonnes. These stocks represent about 84 percent of the total planned reserves of 70 000 tonnes.

The overall food supply situation is satisfactory with stable or declining cereal prices in central, east, lake and northern Tanzania. However, sharp price increases were observed in southern highlands and southern coast areas due partly to the increased cereal demand from neighbouring countries like Zambia, Democratic Republic of Congo and Malawi, which saw major deficits due to adverse weather or insecurity. Furthermore, some 12 districts in northern and central Tanzania, mainly in the regions of Arusha, Kilimanjaro, Dodoma, Morogoro, Shinyanga and Singida, are reported to face varying degrees of food insecurity.

CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2001/02 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)

Wheat

Rice

Coarse grains

Total

Previous five years average production

87

702

3 256

4 045

Previous five years average imports

167

94

50

311

2001/02 Domestic Availability

140

400

3 453

3 993

2001 Production (rice in paddy terms)

90

615

3 303

4 008

2001 Production (rice in milled terms)

90

400

3 303

3 793

Possible stock drawdown

50

-

150

200

2001/02 Utilization

260

520

3 553

4 333

Food use

251

458

3 174

3 883

of which: local purchase requirement

-

-

30

30

Non-food use

9

62

379

450

Exports or re-exports

-

-

-

-

Possible stock build up

-

-

-

-

2001/02 Import Requirement

120

120

100

340

Anticipated commercial imports

120

100

80

300

Food aid needs

-

20

20

40

Current Aid Position
       
Food aid pledges

-

17

38

55

of which: delivered

-

-

38

38

Donor-financed purchases

-

-

19

19

of which: for local use

-

-

19

19

for export

-

-

-

-

Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year)

7

14

94

115

Indexes
       
2001 Production as % of average:
     

99

2001/02 Import requirement as % of average:
     

109


FAO/GIEWS - December 2001

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