FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.3, December 2001 SOUTH AFRICA 41

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SOUTH AFRICA

Area:

1.22 million sq.km

Climate:

Sub-tropical with rains concentrated in the summer months (November-April); occasional snow in winter over higher parts of plateau and Cape ranges; an average of 120 days frost in the interior plateau

Population:

40.86 million (2001 estimate); GNP per caput US$3 020 (2000)

Specific characteristics of the country:

Normally net food exporter, notably maize

Logistics:

Adequate port, rail and road facilities

Major foodcrops:

Maize, wheat

Marketing year:

May/April; Lean season: February-April

Share of cereals in total calorie intake:

54 percent


CURRENT SITUATION


Planting of the 2002 maize crop is underway in the main maize growing areas of the east. Below average rains in the first dekad of October were followed by abundant precipitation in the second and third dekads. The above-average rains provided good soil moisture for planting the 2002 maize crop and benefited earlier sowed crops. Planting prospects are favourable reflecting also expectations of a 6 percent rise in the area planted to 2.878 million hectares. This is in response to increasing prices of maize due to this year's reduced harvest and higher exports to neighbouring countries. The 2001 maize output was estimated at 7.5 million tonnes, a substantial decline from the previous year's good output of 10.6 million tonnes, due to a decrease of 17 percent in the area planted and a prolonged mid-season dry spell that reduced yields.

Harvesting of the 2001 wheat crop is advanced. Production forecasts have been revised upwards to 2.3 million tonnes. At this level, the output is 4 percent higher than the average of the past five years. The outcome reflects an increase of 4 percent in the area planted and adequate irrigation water supplies.

CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2001/02 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)

Wheat

Rice

Coarse grains

Total

Previous five years average production

2 221

3

9 882

12 106

Previous five years average exports

166

-

1 219

1 385

2001/02 Domestic Availability

2 370

100

9 978

12 448

2001 Production (rice in paddy terms)

2 317

-

7 947

10 264

2001 Production (rice in milled terms)

2 317

-

7 947

10 264

Possible stock drawdown

53

100

2 031

2 184

2001/02 Utilization

2 820

100

10 834

13 754

Food Use

2 475

100

4 572

7 147

of which: local purchase requirement

-

-

-

-

Non-food use

195

-

4 312

4 507

Exports or Re-exports

150

-

1 950

2 100

Possible stock build up

-

-

-

-

2001/02 Import Requirement

450

-

856

1 306

Anticipated commercial imports

450

-

856

1 306

Food aid needs

-

-

-

-

Current Aid Position
       
Food aid pledges

-

-

-

-

of which: Delivered

-

-

-

-

Donor-financed purchases

-

-

-

-

of which: for local use

-

-

-

-

for export

-

-

-

-

Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year)

61

2

112

175

Indexes
       
2001 production as % of average:
     

85

2001/02 import requirement as % of average:
     

94


FAO/GIEWS - December 2001

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