FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.3, December 2001 SUDAN 42

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SUDAN

Area:

2.4 million sq.km

Climate:

From north to south, arid, semi-arid and tropical wet-dry. Rainy season: May-October

Population:

32.81 million (2002 estimate); GNP per caput: US$320 (2000)

Specific characteristics of the country:

Low-income food-deficit country; cereal production mainly in eastern and central areas.

Logistics:

Roads, railway and river transport inadequate

Major foodcrops:

Sorghum, millet, wheat, roots and tubers, oils

Marketing year:

November/October; Lean season: September-October

Share of cereals in total calorie intake:

51 percent


CURRENT SITUATION


A recent FAO/WFP Crop and Food Supply Assessment Mission to southern Sudan indicated a generally improved food supply situation compared to last year but estimated an overall deficit in cereal production. Heavy rains in August caused localized flooding and water-logging in low-lying areas, particularly in the east. However the overall advantages of the rainfall, to date, are noted to outweigh the disadvantages.

Despite the improved food supply situation, pockets of food insecurity remain and food assistance requirements will be greater as the fragmentation of the regions and absence of normal trade routes exclude easy movement of grain or cassava flour from surplus to deficit areas.

In central and northern Sudan, harvesting of the 2001 main season cereal crops has just started. Despite the extensive floods that displaced large numbers of people and destroyed crops, overall harvest prospects have improved with some good rains and increased cereal production in the irrigated schemes. An FAO/WFP Crop and Food Supply Assessment Mission is in the country since mid-November to assess the 2001 main season cereal production and estimate overall commercial imports/exports and food aid requirements in 2002.

CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2001/02 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)

Wheat

Rice

Coarse grains

Total

Previous five years average production

386

3

3 838

4 227

Previous five years average imports

963

28

113

1 104

2001/02 Domestic Availability

560

3

4 630

5 193

2001 Production (rice in paddy terms)

560

5

4 630

5 195

2001 Production (rice in milled terms)

560

3

4 630

5 193

Possible stock drawdown

-

-

-

-

2001/02 Utilization

1 860

28

4 720

6 608

Food use

1 474

27

3 202

4 703

of which: local purchase requirement

-

-

200

200

Non-food use

56

1

868

925

Exports or re-exports

-

-

150

150

Possible stock build up

330

-

500

830

2001/02 Import Requirement

1 300

25

90

1 415

Anticipated commercial imports

1 250

25

-

1 275

Food aid needs

50

-

90

140

Current Aid Position
       
Food aid pledges

-

-

13

13

of which: delivered

-

-

-

-

Donor-financed purchases

-

-

-

-

of which: for local use

-

-

-

-

for export

-

-

-

-

Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year)

45

1

98

143

Indexes
       
2001 Production as % of average:
     

123

2001/02 Import requirement as % of average:
     

128


FAO/GIEWS - December 2001

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