FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.1, April 2002 SOMALIA 40

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SOMALIA

Area:
627 000 sq.km
Climate:
Semi-arid in the south; rest arid
Population:
6.37 million (2001 estimate); G.N.P. per caput; n.a.
Specific characteristics of the country:
Low-income food-deficit country
Logistics:
Inadequate port facilities; serious shortage of fuel and spare parts
Major foodcrops:
Maize, sorghum, sesame
Marketing year:
August/July; Lean season: June-August
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:
45 percent


CURRENT SITUATION


The output of the recently harvested secondary "Deyr" season cereal crop, normally accounting for some 25-30 percent of annual cereal production, is forecast at 141 000 tonnes, which is about 46 percent above the previous year's harvest.

Despite the good "Deyr" harvest, however, the food security situation in several districts including Gedo, East Sanag, Sool and parts of Bari regions gives cause for serious concern. Overall, more than 500 000 people are estimated to be facing severe food difficulties in Somalia, mainly due to poor 2001 main "Gu" season crops. Slow recovery from successive seasons of drought and long-term effects of insecurity coupled with reduced foreign exchange earnings due to the continuing ban on livestock imports from eastern Africa by countries along the Arabian Peninsula on account of Rift Valley Fever have seriously undermined household food security.


CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2001/02 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


 

Wheat

Rice

Coarse grains

Total

Previous five years average production

1

2

264

267

Previous five years average imports

113

106

56

275

2001/02 Domestic Availability

10

1

266

277

2001 Production (rice in paddy terms)

-

2

266

268

2001 Production (rice in milled terms)

-

1

266

267

Possible stock drawdown

10

-

-

10

2001/02 Utilization

110

101

386

597

Food use

110

91

331

532

of which: local purchase requirement

-

-

-

-

Non-food use

-

10

40

50

Exports or re-exports

-

-

-

-

Possible stock build up

-

-

15

15

2001/02 Import Requirement

100

100

120

320

Anticipated commercial imports

100

100

50

150

Food aid needs

-

-

70

70

Current Aid Position

       

Food aid pledges

-

-

17

17

of which: delivered

-

-

12

12

Donor-financed purchases

-

-

-

-

of which: for local use

-

-

-

-

for export

-

-

-

-

Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year)

17

14

52

84

Indexes

       

2001 Production as % of average:

     

100

2001/02 Import requirement as % of average:

     

116


FAO/GIEWS - April 2002

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