FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.1, April 2002 TANZANIA 44

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TANZANIA

Area:
886 000 sq.km
Climate:
Tropical wet-dry climate with two rainy seasons in north (November-December and March-May) and one in south (November-April)
Population:
33.93 million (2001 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$280 (2000)
Specific characteristics of the country:
Low-income food-deficit country; cereal surplus production in south and south-west; cereal deficit in central and north-west. Distribution difficulties
Logistics:
Serious shortage of rolling stock, fuel and spare parts
Major foodcrops:
Maize, roots, tubers, sorghum, pulses, plantains, rice
Marketing year:
June/May; Lean season: February-April
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:
60 percent


CURRENT SITUATION


Prospects for the main season coarse grains in the southern highlands are favorable due to abundant rains. In the bi-modal areas the main season maize crop is now being planted. The medium term weather forecast for March-May 2002, predicts a normal to above-normal rainfall over the northern-half of the country while normal to below-normal rains were predicted over the southern half.

Aggregate 2001/02 cereal production, mainly maize, is estimated at about 4 million tonnes, about 15.5 percent above the previous year's harvest. Consequently, the overall food supply situation remains satisfactory. However, prices of maize continued to rise in the south due increased exports to neighbouring countries which are facing crop failures. Price increases are also observed in the east coast and northern parts of the country due reduced "Vuli" season harvests.

WFP distributed about 3 800 tonnes of food aid in February and March 2002 to vulnerable people in several districts of Arusha, Kilimanjaro, and Iringa Regions.


CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2001/02 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


 

Wheat

Rice

Coarse grains

Total

Previous five years average production

87

702

3 256

4 045

Previous five years average imports

167

62

55

284

2001/02 Domestic Availability

140

423

3 513

4 076

2001 Production (rice in paddy terms)

90

650

3 303

4 043

2001 Production (rice in milled terms)

90

423

3 303

3 816

Possible stock drawdown

50

-

210

260

2001/02 Utilization

260

503

3 643

4 406

Food use

251

443

3 144

3 838

of which: local purchase requirement

-

-

30

30

Non-food use

9

60

379

448

Exports or re-exports

-

-

120

120

Possible stock build up

-

-

-

-

2001/02 Import Requirement

120

80

130

330

Anticipated commercial imports

120

80

50

250

Food aid needs

-

-

80

80

Current Aid Position

       

Food aid pledges

-

37

75

112

of which: delivered

-

37

70

107

Donor-financed purchases

-

-

29

29

of which: for local use

-

-

27

27

for export

-

-

2

2

Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year)

7

13

93

113

Indexes

       

2001 Production as % of average:

     

100

2001/02 Import requirement as % of average:

     

116


FAO/GIEWS - April 2002

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