FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.1, April 2002 UGANDA 46

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UGANDA

Area:
200 000 sq.km
Climate:
North-east is semi-arid, rest of the country is tropical wet-dry; main rainy period is March-October
Population:
22.39 million (2002 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$310 (2000)
Specific characteristics of the country:
Low-income food-deficit country
Logistics:
Ports: Mombasa (Kenya) and Dar es Salaam (Tanzania); roads and railways inadequate
Major foodcrops:
Roots, tubers, plantains, pulses, maize, millet, sorghum
Marketing year:
January/December; Lean season: April-May
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:
35 percent


CURRENT SITUATION


Harvesting of the 2001 secondary season crop is complete. Aggregate cereal production in 2002 is provisionally estimated at 1.7 million tonnes 9 percent and 5 percent above the 2001 and the previous five years average respectively. Scattered rains in March in many parts of the country signified the beginning of the main cropping season. The seasonal forecast for the March to May period indicates an increased likelihood of near normal to above-normal rainfall over central, western, south-western and north-western Uganda; while most eastern, south-eastern and north-eastern districts have increased likelihood of receiving near normal to below normal rainfall. An increased likelihood for the development of El-Nino during the second half of 2002 was also predicted.

The start of the rains in pastoral areas of southern and south-western regions is replenishing ground water and rejuvenating vegetation. Livestock currently, therefore, have adequate access to drinking water and pastures. Normal dry conditions in the north-eastern Karamoja region (Kotido, Moroto and Nakapiripirit Districts) have reduced availability of pasture and drinking water and limit their access by livestock.

The overall food supply situation is, therefore, satisfactory. However, some 700 000 refugees, displaced persons and victims of drought earlier remain dependent on food assistance.


CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2002 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


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Wheat

Rice

Coarse grains

Total

Previous five years average production

10

91

1 615

1 716

Previous five years average imports

35

41

42

118

2002 Domestic Availability

32

73

1 712

1 817

2001 Production (rice in paddy terms)

12

110

1 652

1 774

2001 Production (rice in milled terms)

12

73

1 652

1 737

Possible stock drawdown

20

-

60

80

2002 Utilization

52

113

1 777

1 942

Food use

51

113

1 496

1 660

of which: local purchase requirement

-

-

-

-

Non-food use

1

-

201

202

Exports or re-exports

-

-

80

80

Possible stock build up

-

-

-

-

2002 Import Requirement

20

40

65

125

Anticipated commercial imports

20

40

-

60

Food aid needs

-

-

65

65

Current Aid Position

       

Food aid pledges

4

-

19

23

of which: delivered

4

-

19

23

Donor-financed purchases

-

-

-

-

of which: for local use

-

-

-

-

for export

-

-

-

-

Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year)

2

5

67

74

Indexes

       

2001 Production as % of average:

     

103

2002 Import requirement as % of average:

     

106


FAO/GIEWS - April 2002

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