FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.1, April 2002 ZAMBIA 47

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ZAMBIA

Area:
741 000 sq.km
Climate:
Tropical wet-dry; rainy season: November-April
Population:
10.86 million (2001 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$300 (2000)
Specific characteristics of the country:
Low-income food-deficit country; land-locked country
Logistics:
Imports through Dar es Salaam (Tanzania); inadequate rail and road connections
Major foodcrops:
Maize, roots, tubers
Marketing year:
May/April; Lean season: March-May
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:
70 percent


CURRENT SITUATION


The outlook for the 2002 cereal harvest, mainly maize, has further deteriorated with dry weather in March in the southern half of the country. Rains in previous months in these areas were also below average and yields are anticipated to be low. By contrast, normal to above-normal precipitation in March in northern parts benefited maturing cereal crops. Rains in northern areas have been adequate since the beginning of the growing season and crops are reported in good conditions. Overall, the output is expected to be reduced for the second consecutive year.

Food shortages are reported from several locations as a result of last year's poor maize harvest and delayed imports. Prices of food have increased sharply since last July. WFP is currently distributing emergency food aid to 1.1 million people most affected population in 19 districts. However, it is expected that only some 20 000 tonnes out of the 42 000 tonnes required, will be distributed before the next harvest.


CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2001/02 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


 

Wheat

Rice

Coarse grains

Total

Previous five years average production

72

16

1 125

1 213

Previous five years average imports

57

17

204

278

2001/02 Domestic Availability

85

13

998

1 096

2001 Production (rice in paddy terms)

75

19

883

977

2001 Production (rice in milled terms)

75

13

883

971

Possible stock drawdown

10

-

115

125

2001/02 Utilization

130

36

1 113

1 279

Food use

126

34

908

1 068

of which: local purchase requirement

-

-

5

5

Non-food use

4

2

180

186

Exports or re-exports

-

-

25

25

Possible stock build up

-

-

-

-

2001/02 Import Requirement

45

23

115

183

Anticipated commercial imports

45

22

95

162

Food aid needs

-

1

20

21

Current Aid Position

       

Food aid pledges

-

-

20

20

of which: delivered

-

-

20

20

Donor-financed purchases

-

-

5

5

of which: for local use

-

-

5

5

for export

-

-

-

-

Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year)

12

3

84

98

Indexes

       

2001 Production as % of average:

     

81

2001/02 Import requirement as % of average:

     

66


FAO/GIEWS - April 2002

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