FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.1, April 2002 ZIMBABWE 48

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ZIMBABWE

Area:
387 000 sq.km
Climate:
Centre and north-east tropical wet-dry; south and west semi-arid; rainy season: November-March
Population:
12.70 million (2001 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$480 (2000)
Specific characteristics of the country:
Land-locked country; exporter and importer of grain
Logistics:
Exports and imports through Mozambique or South Africa
Major foodcrops:
Maize, wheat, millet, sorghum
Marketing year:
April/March; Lean season: February-April
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:
66 percent


CURRENT SITUATION


The outlook for the 2002 cereal crops, about to be harvested, is unfavourable. The area planted to the main maize crop is preliminary estimated at 1.26 million hectares, 3 percent above the reduced level of last year but 11 percent below that of 2000. Yields are anticipated to be reduced as a result of a prolonged dry spell in January and February. The maize output is forecast lower than the poor crop of 2001. Contrary to the high level of last year's carry-over stocks, the marketing year 2002/03 (April/March) will begin with a complete depletion of reserves. The already very tight food supply situation is anticipated to further deteriorate in 2002/03. Protracted humanitarian assistance will be necessary for the most vulnerable groups of population.

Prices of basic staple maize continued to increase in March despite the price control imposed by the Government, reflecting inadequate levels of maize imports. Food shortages are reported from several locations of the country, particularly Matabeleland South, Matabeleland North, Masvingo, Midlands, Manicaland, and parts of Mashonaland West and Central Provinces. WFP is distributing emergency food assistance to the most vulnerable populations but donor contributions fall short of requirements.


CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2001/02 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


 

Wheat

Rice

Coarse grains

Total

Previous five years average production

286

-

2 141

2 427

Previous five years average imports

122

25

125

272

2001/02 Domestic Availability

295

-

1 674

1 969

2001 Production (rice in paddy terms)

275

-

1 584

1 859

2001 Production (rice in milled terms)

275

-

1 584

1 859

Possible stock drawdown

20

-

90

110

2001/02 Utilization

375

25

1 759

2 159

Food use

360

25

1 474

1 859

of which: local purchase requirement

-

-

-

-

Non-food use

15

-

285

300

Exports or re-exports

-

-

-

-

Possible stock build up

-

-

-

-

2001/02 Import Requirement

80

25

85

190

Anticipated commercial imports

80

25

80

185

Food aid needs

-

-

5

5

Current Aid Position

       

Food aid pledges

-

-

5

5

of which: delivered

-

-

5

5

Donor-financed purchases

-

-

-

-

of which: for local use

-

-

-

-

for export

-

-

-

-

Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year)

28

2

116

147

Indexes

       

2001 Production as % of average:

     

77

2001/02 Import requirement as % of average:

     

70


FAO/GIEWS - April 2002

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