FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.2 - July 2003 p.37
The 2003 main paddy crop is forecast at 2.55 million tonnes, 5 percent below last year’s level but average. The coarse grain crop, mainly produced in southern parts, is estimated to be reduced by 14 percent compared to last year due to drought. Higher cereal imports and food aid needs are forecast in the new marketing year as a result of the lower paddy production.
| CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2003/04 MARKETING YEAR (April/March) | ||||
| Wheat | Rice | Coarse Grains | Total Cereals | |
| [ | thousand tonnes | ] | ||
| Previous year production | 10 | 2 670 | 181 | 2 861 |
| Previous five years average production | 10 | 2 530 | 173 | 2 713 |
| Previous year imports | 101 | 134 | 16 | 251 |
| Previous five years average imports | 94 | 163 | 14 | 271 |
| 2003/04 Domestic Availability | 10 | 1 734 | 155 | 1 899 |
| 2003 Production (rice in paddy terms) | 10 | 2 550 | 155 | 2 715 |
| 2003 Production (rice in milled terms) | 10 | 1 734 | 155 | 1 899 |
| Possible stock drawdown | - | - | - | - |
| 2003/04 Utilization | 115 | 1 984 | 183 | 2 282 |
| Food use | 115 | 1 864 | 162 | 2 141 |
| Non-food use | - | 120 | 21 | 141 |
| Exports or re-exports | - | - | - | - |
| Possible stock build up | - | - | - | - |
| 2003/04 Import Requirement | 105 | 250 | 28 | 383 |
| Anticipated commercial imports | 80 | 240 | 10 | 330 |
| of which: received or contracted | - | - | 3 | 3 |
| Food aid needs | 25 | 10 | 18 | 53 |
| Current Aid Position | ||||
| Food aid pledges | 25 | 3 | 5 | 33 |
| of which: delivered | - | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Donor-financed purchases | - | - | - | - |
| of which: for local use | - | - | - | - |
| for export | - | - | - | - |
| Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year) | 7 | 108 | 9 | 124 |
| Indexes | [ | percentage | ] | |
| 2003 Prod. compared to average (rice paddy terms) | 100 | 101 | 90 | 100 |
| 2003/04 Import requirement compared to average | 112 | 153 | 200 | 141 |
| Cereal share of total calorie intake | 53 | |||
| Additional Information | ||||
| Major foodcrops | rice; roots; tubers; maize; fruit | |||
| Lean season | February-March | |||
| Population (000s) | 17 292 | |||
| GNP per capita in 2001 (US$) | 260 | |||