المنتدى العالمي المعني بالأمن الغذائي والتغذية

أسهم هذا العضو في:

    • 1. The 2021 Groundswell report of the World bank on Climate Migration (available on https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/entities/publication/2c9150df-52c3-…) projects that 1) the number of internal disaster/climate affected migrants (or IDPs) will increase from 24 to 216 million by 2050 -on top of the projected increase of refugees 2) hotspots of migration and urbanization will emerge in the coming years, meaning accelerated urbanization patterns and increased pressure on food, water (and other basic services) systems as well as changing demographic trends. These projections can perhaps provide even more context to questions 1 and 7 and contribute to answer these questions.

      2. Heat stress seems to be a key factors in rural to urban migration decision making ( see e.g. https://www.nature.com/articles/nclimate2103): in several regions MENA, NA and Central Asian countries heat stress is creating conditions of inhabitability (e.g. in the city of Jacobabad in Pakistan). High temperatures are detrimental for crop productivity, soil quality and livability but also are a key factor in triggering heat waves, followed by intensified monsoon seasons. These factors can further influence food security as crops are at risk of destruction, soil nutrient depletion and urban areas at risk of flooding (as happened in Pakistan in 2022). Including heat stress can add value to answer questions 1,3 and 6.

      3. The Food and Nutrition Security Resilience Programme (FNS-REPRO) of the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) and Wageningen University & Research (WUR), is a four-year plan addressing the cause‑effect relationship between conflict and food insecurity in Somalia, South Sudan and Sudan (https://www.wur.nl/en/research-results/research-institutes/centre-for-d…). It is proposing a very interesting model and local approach to address food systems vulnerabilities and resilience by analysing the relationship between 1) Food Systems (socio-economic drivers) 2). Food supply systems and environmental drivers (e.g. related to the phophorus crises), shocks&stresses 3) Shock and stress 4) Resilience Capacities in relation to Exposure and Sensitivity and 5. How all preceding factors lead to Food System Outcomes/Food Security and Environmental Outcomes. It would be very interesting to apply novel model to the rural/urban dynamic.The model can be input for answering questions 1,2,3,6,9 and 10. Wageningen University is closely related to Van Hall Larenstein University.