FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.2 - August 2002 p.35

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  GUINEA

Area:245 860 sq km
Climate:Tropical wet-dry; rainy season: March/June to October/November
Population:7.57 million (2002 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$450 (2000)
Specific characteristics of the country:Low-income food-deficit country; mountainous coastal country
Logistics:Ports and roads inadequate
Major foodcrops:Rice, roots and tubers, coarse grains
Marketing year:January/December; Lean season: July-September
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:52 percent

CURRENT SITUATION

The first rains registered in the south in March covered the entire country only in early June. Precipitation remained below average until early July. The overall food supply situation is satisfactory following satisfactory harvests in 2000 and 2001. Markets are well supplied, except in the south-east where recurrent rebel incursions from Sierra Leone have severely affected agricultural and marketing activities.

The presence of a large refugee population and the persistent instability in the sub-region have exacted a heavy toll on the country. According to UNICEF, at least 13 000 new Liberians refugees entered the country in May and June of whom 80 percent were women and children. Armed clashes in and around the country have also resulted in increasing numbers of internally displaced persons (IDPs). Approximately 41 000 Liberians refugees in camps are currently receiving WFP assistance.

Cereal import requirement for the 2002 marketing year is estimated at 331 000 tonnes.

CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2002 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)

 WheatRiceCoarse grainsTotal
     Previous five years average production-769215984
     Previous five years average imports1172443364
2002 Domestic Availability5546237788
     2001 Production (rice in paddy terms)-7892371 026
     2001 Production (rice in milled terms)-526237763
     Possible stock drawdown520-25
2002 Utilization1157612431 119
     Food use112636198946
       of which: local purchase requirement----
     Non-food use311545164
     Exports or re-exports-10-10
     Possible stock build up----
2002 Import Requirement1102156331
     Anticipated commercial imports100200-300
     Food aid needs1015631
Current Aid Position    
     Food aid pledges615627
       of which: delivered615627
     Donor-financed purchases----
       of which: for local use----
                        for export----
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year)158426125
Indexes    
     2001 Production as % of average:   104
     2002 Import requirement as % of average:   91

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