FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.2 - August 2002 p.47

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  NIGER

Area:1 267 000 sq km
Climate:Northern part arid, southern part semi-arid with rains in June-October
Population:10.67 million (2002 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$180 (2000)
Specific characteristics of the country:Low-income food-deficit country; land-locked Sahelian country
Logistics:Roads inadequate during rainy season
Major foodcrops:Millet and sorghum, pulses, roots and tubers
Marketing year:November/October; Lean season: July-September
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:70 percent

CURRENT SITUATION

After the first rains in the south in mid-May, precipitation covered the centre in early June. In late June and early July, precipitation generally remained irregular and below normal. The dry spell has stressed crops and recently planted crops have failed in several villages, necessitating replantings. However the last dekad registered abundant rains over most producing areas which will benefit crops stressed by earlier drier conditions. Flooding is even reported in Zinder department. Millet and sorghum are generally emerging/tillering, but plantings and replantings are still underway in several villages. Pastures are regenerating. Grasshopper infestations have been reported in Dosso, Maradi, Tahoua and Zinder departments. Insect attacks are also reported in Dosso and Tahoua, while grain-eating birds have been seen in Diffa. The Desert Locust situation is reported to be calm.

The final official aggregate 2001 cereal production is estimated at 3.11 million tonnes, 46 percent higher than the poor crop in the previous year and about one-third more than average.

Following this good harvest, the overall food supply situation is satisfactory. However, an untimely sharp rise in cereal prices on all markets across the country has been reported, which makes access to food difficult. The above-normal cereal prices are mainly due to activities of speculators and outflows to Nigeria.

Cereal import requirement in 2001/02 (November/October) is estimated at some 345 000 tonnes, almost half actual  imports in the previous year.

CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2001/02 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)

 WheatRiceCoarse grainsTotal
     Previous five years average production8652 3162 389
     Previous five years average imports50113279442
2001/02 Domestic Availability5603 0293 093
     2001 Production (rice in paddy terms)5763 0293 110
     2001 Production (rice in milled terms)5503 0293 083
     Possible stock drawdown-10-10
2001/02 Utilization611793 1993 438
     Food use551692 5342 758
       of which: local purchase requirement--1010
     Non-food use19465475
     Exports or re-exports5-2025
     Possible stock build up--180180
2001/02 Import Requirement56119170345
     Anticipated commercial imports5095168313
     Food aid needs624232
Current Aid Position    
     Food aid pledges625232
       of which: delivered-8-8
     Donor-financed purchases--66
       of which: for local use--66
                        for export----
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year)516238259
Indexes    
     2001 Production as % of average:   130
     2001/02 Import requirement as % of average:   78

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