FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.2 - August 2002 p.48

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  NIGERIA

Area:923 770 sq km
Climate:Mostly tropical wet-dry, south-west tropical wet, extreme north semi-arid
Population:116.8 million (2002 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$260 (2000)
Specific characteristics of the country:Low-income food-deficit country; coastal country
Logistics:Ports adequate, roads inadequate during rainy season
Major foodcrops:Roots and tubers, coarse grains, rice
Marketing year:January/December; Lean season: April-May
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:43 percent

CURRENT SITUATION

First rains in the south in late February/early March permitted land preparation and planting of the first maize crop. Rains reached northern areas in late April/early May where they permitted planting of coarse grains. However, the weather remained mostly dry until early July in the extreme north-east. The overall food supply situation is satisfactory. Some population groups, however, remain vulnerable following communal conflicts notably in the states of Benue, Nasarawa and Taraba. From April to June, more than 85 000 IDPs have been resettled in their home villages in the central region.

CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2002 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)

 WheatRiceCoarse grainsTotal
     Previous five years average production493 3011 879722 147
     Previous five years average imports1 604793872 484
2002 Domestic Availability1502 20019 61421 964
     2001 Production (rice in paddy terms)503 50019 61423 164
     2001 Production (rice in milled terms)502 10019 61421 764
     Possible stock drawdown100100-200
2002 Utilization1 8503 2001 968424 734
     Food use1 7982 78015 08319 661
       of which: local purchase requirement----
     Non-food use524203 9214 393
     Exports or re-exports--180180
     Possible stock build up--500500
2002 Import Requirement1 7001 000702 770
     Anticipated commercial imports1 7001 000702 770
     Food aid needs----
Current Aid Position    
     Food aid pledges----
       of which: delivered----
     Donor-financed purchases----
       of which: for local use----
                        for export----
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year)1524129168
Indexes    
     2001 Production as % of average:   105
     2002 Import requirement as % of average:   112

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