FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.2 - August 2002 p.54

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  SOMALIA

Area:627 000 sq km
Climate:Semi-arid in the south; rest arid
Population:6.54 million (2002 estimate); G.N.P. per caput; n.a.
Specific characteristics of the country:Low-income food-deficit country
Logistics:Inadequate port facilities; serious shortage of fuel and spare parts
Major foodcrops:Maize, sorghum, sesame
Marketing year:August/July; Lean season: June-August
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:45 percent

CURRENT SITUATION

Prospects for the current main “gu” season cereal crops are generally favourable following good rains in end-April/early-May. However, poor crop establishments were reported in Bakool and Hiran regions, while in northern Gedo Region, despite good rains, insecurity hampered crop cultivation.

Despite the improvement in the overall food supply situation earlier this year in parts of southern Somalia, due to good secondary “deyr” season harvest in February 2002, serious food supply difficulties remain in northern Gedo, as well as in Garbaharay and Burdhubo due to successive years of drought and insecurity. Recent escalation of conflict, particularly around Baidoa, north-eastern Somalia (Puntland) and in Mogadishu has displaced large number of people and has prevented the delivery of food assistance to vulnerable groups raising serious humanitarian concerns.

Elsewhere, in north-western Somalia (Somaliland) poor rains have adversely affected the establishment of the gu crop. The food situation is worsening in Sool, Sanag and Nugal regions where below-average rains have affected crop and livestock production. The continued ban on livestock imports from eastern Africa by countries along the Arabian Peninsula has reduced foreign exchange earnings and affected the livelihoods of large number of pastoralists.

CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2002/03 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)

 WheatRiceCoarse grainsTotal
     Previous five years average production-2260262
     Previous five years average imports11110674291
2002/03 Domestic Availability201258279
     2002 Production (rice in paddy terms)-2258260
     2002 Production (rice in milled terms)-1258259
     Possible stock drawdown20--20
2002/03 Utilization12091368579
     Food use12091333544
       of which: local purchase requirement----
     Non-food use--3535
     Exports or re-exports----
     Possible stock build up----
2002/03 Import Requirement10090110300
     Anticipated commercial imports1009040230
     Food aid needs--7070
Current Aid Position    
     Food aid pledges----
       of which: delivered----
     Donor-financed purchases----
       of which: for local use----
                        for export----
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year)18145183
Indexes    
     2002 Production as % of average:   99
     2002/03 Import requirement as % of average:   103

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