FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.2 - August 2002 p.61

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  ZAMBIA

Area:741 000 sq km
Climate:Tropical wet-dry; rainy season: November-April
Population:10.87 million (2002 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$300 (2000)
Specific characteristics of the country:Low-income food-deficit country; land-locked country
Logistics:Imports through Dar es Salaam (Tanzania); inadequate rail and road connections
Major foodcrops:Maize, roots, tubers
Marketing year:May/April; Lean season: March-May
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:70 percent

CURRENT SITUATION

The 2002 cereal crop was reduced for the second consecutive year. A prolonged dry spell from January to March, the critical period for development of the crops, sharply reduced yields. An FAO/WFP Crop and Food Supply Assessment Mission in April 2002 estimated the output of the main staple maize at 606 000 tonnes, 24 percent below last year’s poor harvest and 42 percent lower than the normal crop of 2000. Most affected areas were the Southern, Western, Eastern, Lusaka and Central provinces. Cereal import requirements for marketing year 2002/03 (May/April) were estimated at 626 000 tonnes. Commercial imports are expected to reach some 400 000 tonnes, leaving 225 000 tonnes to be covered by food aid. Emergency food aid requirements for 2.329 million most affected people was estimated at 174 000 tonnes. Emergency supply of seeds (maize, sorghum, groundnuts) to drought affected farming families is also urgently needed  for planting of the next season starting in October 2002.

CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2002/03 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)

 WheatRiceCoarse grainsTotal
     Previous five years average production771710041 098
     Previous five years average imports4420243307
2002/03 Domestic Availability756673754
     2002 Production (rice in paddy terms)7510663748
     2002 Production (rice in milled terms)756663744
     Possible stock drawdown--1010
2002/03 Utilization115171 2481 380
     Food use111171 0671 195
       of which: local purchase requirement----
     Non-food use4-171175
     Exports or re-exports--1010
     Possible stock build up----
2002/03 Import Requirement4011575626
     Anticipated commercial imports4011350401
     Food aid needs--225225
Current Aid Position    
     Food aid pledges--1717
       of which: delivered--1717
     Donor-financed purchases----
       of which: for local use----
                        for export----
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year)10298110
Indexes    
     2002 Production as % of average:   68
     2002/03 Import requirement as % of average:   204

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