FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.2 - August 2002 p.62

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   ZIMBABWE

Area:387 000 sq km
Climate:Centre and north-east tropical wet-dry; south and west semi-arid; rainy season: November-March
Population:13.02 million (2002 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$460 (2000)
Specific characteristics of the country:Land-locked country; exporter and importer of grain
Logistics:Exports and imports through Mozambique or South Africa
Major foodcrops:Maize, wheat, millet, sorghum
Marketing year:April/March; Lean season: February-April
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:66 percent

CURRENT SITUATION

An FAO/WFP Crop and Food Supply Assessment Mission estimated the 2002 maize output at 0.48 million tonnes, down by 67 percent on last year and by 77 percent on 1999/00. Production was adversely affected by drought between January and March, which wiped out crops in most parts of the country, coupled with land reform activities which disrupted agricultural production on large-scale commercial farms. Cereal import requirements for the marketing year 2002/03 (April/March) are estimated at an unprecedented level of 1.869 million tonnes, of which maize accounts for 91 percent or 1.705 million tonnes. Emergency food assistance in the amount of 705 000 tonnes of cereals is needed for approximately 6.074 million people as a result of insufficient production or income.

The food supply situation continues to deteriorate following the poor cereal crop of last year, the country’s financial difficulties to import and slow delivery of food aid. Shortages of basic food and non-food goods are reported in urban and rural areas.

CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2002/03 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)

 WheatRiceCoarse grainsTotal
     Previous five years average production285-1 8892 174
     Previous five years average imports14225140307
2002/03 Domestic Availability2451536782
     2002 Production (rice in paddy terms)1502536688
     2002 Production (rice in milled terms)1501536687
     Possible stock drawdown95--95
2002/03 Utilization397132 2412 651
     Food use387131 7752 175
       of which: local purchase requirement----
     Non-food use10-319329
     Exports or re-exports----
     Possible stock build up--147147
2002/03 Import Requirement152121 7051 869
     Anticipated commercial imports-12450462
     Food aid needs152-1 2551 407
Current Aid Position    
     Food aid pledges--110110
       of which: delivered--2020
     Donor-financed purchases----
       of which: for local use----
                        for export----
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year)291133163
Indexes    
     2002 Production as % of average:   32
     2002/03 Import requirement as % of average:   609

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