FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report - March 1998:

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GUINEA


Area: 246 000 sq.km
Climate: Tropical wet-dry; one rainy season: March/June to October/November
Population: 7.0 million (1998 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: U.S.$ 550 (1995)
Specific characteristics of the country: Low-income food-deficit country; mountainous coastal country
Logistics: Ports and roads inadequate
Major foodcrops: Rice, roots and tubers, coarse grains
Marketing year: January/December; Lean season: July-September
Share of cereals in total calorie intake: 52 percent


CURRENT SITUATION

Cereal production in 1997 is estimated at 911 000 tonnes, which is about average. Nevertheless, the high number of refugees in some of the main producing areas is causing substantial damages, including soil degradation and deforestation and may have limited production activities in these areas. Latest estimates put the total number of Liberian and Sierra Leonean refugees in Guinea at 405 000, notably located in the border areas and in Conakry. Food assistance is provided to 60 000 Sierra Leonean and 60 000 Liberian refugees amongst the most vulnerable. About 45 000 children also receive food assistance through school feeding. Organized repatriation is underway for the Liberian refugees and will be completed by the end of the year. The presence of refugees is increasing the demand for food items which results in rapid depletion of stocks available and price increases. The cereal import requirement for 1998 is estimated at 400 000 tonnes.



CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1998 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tons)


Wheat

Rice

Coarse grains

Total

Normal Production

-

720

200

920

Normal Imports

-

110

260

370

of which: Structural food aid

1

32

2

35

1998 Domestic Availability

-

472

204

676

1997 Production (rice in paddy terms)

-

707

204

911

1997 Production (rice in milled terms)

-

472

204

676

Possible stock drawdown

-

-

-

-

1998 Utilization

115

732

229

1 076

Food Use

112

616

192

920

of which: local purchase requirement

-

-

-

-

Non-food use

3

106

37

146

Exports or Re-exports

-

10

-

10

Possible stock build up

-

-

-

-

1998 Import Requirement

115

260

25

400

Anticipated commercial imports

115

250

25

390

Food aid needs

-

10

-

10

Current Aid Position





Food aid pledges

-

3

-

3

of which: Delivered

-

-

-

-

Donor-financed purchases

-

-

-

-

of which: for local use

-

-

-

-

for export

-

-

-

-

Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year)

16

88

28

132

Indexes





1997 production as % of normal:




99

1998 import requirement as % of normal:




108

1998 food aid requirement as % of normal:




29


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