FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.3, December 1998 -

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NIGER


Area: 1 267 000 sq.km
Climate: Northern part arid, southern part semi-arid with rains in June-October
Population: 9.80 million (1998 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: U.S.$ 200 (1997)
Specific characteristics of the country: Low-income food-deficit country; land-locked sahelian country
Logistics: Roads inadequate during rainy season
Major foodcrops: Millet and sorghum, pulses, roots and tubers
Marketing year: November/October; Lean season: July-September
Share of cereals in total calorie intake: 70 percent


CURRENT SITUATION

A joint CILSS/FAO Crop Assessment Mission which visited the country from 19-23 October estimated the 1998 aggregate cereal production at 3 041 900 tonnes, comprising 2 974 200 tonnes of millet and sorghum, 53 500 tonnes of paddy, 6 900 tonnes of maize and 7 300 tonnes of wheat. This estimated record production is 77 percent higher than in 1997 and about 47 percent above the average of the last five years. Good weather conditions and relatively low pest infestations largely account for this good outturn.

The overall food supply situation is anticipated to be satisfactory in light of the expected good harvest. However, despite this increase in harvest, the food supply situation is likely to be tight in some areas which are chronically food deficit. In addition, about 42 000 flood victims need specific assistance, as requested by a UN General Assembly appeal on 10 November.



CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1998/99 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


Wheat Rice Coarse grains Total
Normal Production 4 66 1 991 2 061
Normal Imports 15 60 220 295
of which: Structural food aid 5 5 10 20
1998/99 Domestic Availability 12 35 2 981 3 028
1998 Production (rice in paddy terms) 7 54 2 981 3 042
1998 Production (rice in milled terms) 7 35 2 981 3 023
Possible stock drawdown 5 - - 5
1998/99 Utilization 27 120 3 101 3 248
Food Use 26 103 2 324 2 454
of which: local purchase requirement - - 20 20
Non-food use 1 6 457 465
Exports or Re-exports - - 60 60
Possible stock build up - 10 260 270
1998/99 Import Requirement 15 85 120 220
Anticipated commercial imports 10 80 120 210
Food aid needs 5 5 - 10
Current Aid Position



Food aid pledges 2 2 4 8
of which: Delivered - - - -
Donor-financed purchases - - 15 15
of which: for local use - - 15 15
for export - - - -
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year) 3 11 237 250
Indexes



1998 production as % of normal:


148
1998/99 import requirement as % of normal:


75
1998/99 food aid requirement as % of normal:


50

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