FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.3, December 1998 -

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NIGERIA


Area: 911 000 sq.km
Climate: Mostly tropical wet-dry, south-west tropical wet, extreme north semi-arid
Population: 116 million (1998 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: U.S.$ 260 (1997)
Specific characteristics of the country: Low-income food-deficit country; coastal country
Logistics: Ports adequate, roads inadequate during rainy season
Major foodcrops: Roots and tubers, coarse grains, rice
Marketing year: January/December; Lean season: April-May
Share of cereals in total calorie intake: 43 percent


CURRENT SITUATION

Despite a late start of the rains, conditions were generally favourable for a good crop development throughout the growing season. The millet and sorghum crops in the northern part of the country are expected to be normal to above normal. In the centre and the southwest, dry periods in July and August might have affected crop development and reduced the maize and rice output. Shortages of fertilizers, improved seeds and pesticides are also expected to have further limited maize and rice production.

Food supply continues to be constrained by high levels of post-harvest losses and high distribution costs but is satisfactory. The cereal import requirement for 1998 is estimated at 1 300 000 tonnes, including 1 million tonnes of wheat and 200 000 tonnes of rice.



CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1998 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


Wheat Rice Coarse grains Total
Normal Production 45 2 800 16 970 19 815
Normal Imports 850 350 80 1 280
of which: Structural food aid - - - -
1998 Domestic Availability 96 1 967 18 489 20 552
1997 Production (rice in paddy terms) 66 3 278 18 489 21 833
1997 Production (rice in milled terms) 66 1 967 18 489 20 522
Possible stock drawdown 30 - - 30
1998 Utilization 1096 2 167 18 589 21 852
Food Use 1065 1 917 14 406 17 388
of which: local purchase requirement - - - -
Non-food use 31 250 3 843 4 124
Exports or Re-exports - - 200 200
Possible stock build up - - 140 140
1998 Import Requirement 1000 200 100 1 300
Anticipated commercial imports 1000 200 100 1 300
Food aid needs - - - -
Current Aid Position



Food aid pledges - - - -
of which: Delivered - - - -
Donor-financed purchases - - - -
of which: for local use - - - -
for export - - - -
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year) 9 17 124 150
Indexes



1997 production as % of normal:


110
1998 import requirement as % of normal:


102
1998 food aid requirement as % of normal:


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