FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.3, December 2000 ERITREA 16

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ERITREA

Area:
124 320 sq.km
Climate:
Highland areas: tropical wet/dry with unreliable rains. Lowlands: semi-arid to arid
Population:
3.0 million (1999 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$200 (1999)
Specific characteristics of the country:
Low-income food-deficit country
Logistics:
Roads inadequate, gateway to northern Ethiopia
Major foodcrops:
Sorghum, teff, millet, maize, pulses
Marketing year:
January/December; Lean season: August-November
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:
73 percent


CURRENT SITUATION


Despite favorable rains in September and October in some regions of the country, mainly Debub and Gash Barka, prospects for 2000 main season cereal and pulse crops for harvest from November are bleak, due mainly to the displacement of hundreds of thousands of farmers by war with neighboring Ethiopia. In addition, official government meteorological sources indicated that there was a decrease in the spatial distribution of the rainfall throughout the country during the rainy season. This was aggravated by the unseasonable rainfall during early November, which has had a potential negative effect on the current harvest. Gash Barka and Debub administrative zones (Zobas), which are the country's main grain producing areas, normally supplying more than 75 percent of Eritrea's cereal production, have been at the centre of the recent clashes and may have little or no harvest in 2000. As the next harvest is only expected in November/December 2001, these regions known as "the bread basket of Eritrea", together with other parts will depend on emergency relief food for at least the next 18 months.

The food situation of more than 1.5 million people displaced/affected by war gives cause for serious concern. The failure of rainy seasons in Anseba, Northern Red Sea and Southern Red Sea administrative zones has also severely affected nearly 340 000 people.

In October, WFP distributed a total of 15 871 tonnes of food to 808 822 war and drought affected people. In June 2000, FAO and WFP jointly approved an Emergency Operation, EMOP6044.01"Food Assistance to war affected populations in Eritrea" for a total of 151 080 tonnes of food for the period 1 May 2000 to 30 April 2001. This complemented an Emergency Operation, EMOP 6227.00 "Assistance to victims of crop failure and drought in Eritrea" for a total of 19 390 tonnes of food for the period 1 April to 31 December 2000 approved jointly by FAO and WFP on 10 April 2000.


CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2000 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


  Wheat Rice Coarse grains Total
Previous five years average production 12 - 193 205
Previous five years average imports 136 1 79 216
2000 Domestic Availability 19 - 307 326
1999 Production (rice in paddy terms) 19 - 300 319
1999 Production (rice in milled terms) 19 - 300 319
Possible stock drawdown - - 7 7
2000 Utilization 219 - 347 566
Food Use 203 - 222 425
of which: local purchase requirement - - 1 1
Non-food use 1 - 125 126
Exports or Re-exports - - - -
Possible stock build up 15 - - 15
2000 Import Requirement 200 - 40 240
Anticipated commercial imports 50 - 20 70
Food aid needs 150 - 20 170
Current Aid Position        
Food aid pledges 169 - 6 175
of which: Delivered 104 - 6 110
Donor-financed purchases - - 1 1
of which: for local use - - 1 1
for export - - - -
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year) 65 - 72 137
Indexes        
1999 production as % of average:       156
2000 import requirement as % of average:       111

FAO/GIEWS - December 2000

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