FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.3, December 2001 CHAD 9

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CHAD

Area:
1 259 000 sq.km
Climate:
From north to south: arid, semi-arid and tropical wet-dry; rainy season: May-Oct.
Population:
7.75 million (2002 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$200 (2000)
Specific characteristics of the country:
Low-income food-deficit country; land-locked Sahelian country.
Logistics:
Roads inadequate during rainy season
Major foodcrops:
Millet and sorghum, roots and tubers, tree nuts
Marketing year:
November/October; Lean season: August-September
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:
52 percent


CURRENT SITUATION



After generally above-average precipitation in September, rains ceased in the Sahelian zone in early October and in the Sudanian zone in late October. Pastures are abundant. Prospects for sorghum recession crops are good. A joint FAO/CILSS Crop Assessment Mission which visited the country in mid-October estimated the aggregate output of cereals at a record level of 1 237 250 tonnes, 33 percent above the previous year's level and 15 percent above average.

As a result of this anticipated good harvest, the food supply situation will improve, notably in the deficit areas of the Sahelian zone affected by poor crops in 2000. Prices of cereals decreased significantly in September and October. However, about 143 000 people have been identified as at risk of food difficulties following flooding in areas of the Sudanian zone which caused damage to houses and about 144 000 hectares of farm land. An influx of expellees from Lybia and population displacement from Tibesti are reported in the north. During the lean season, a WFP Emergency Operation provided 27 000 tonnes of food aid to 375 000 beneficiaries in eight departments of the Sahelian zone.

CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2001/02 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)

Wheat

Rice

Coarse grains

Total

Previous five years average production

3

112

959

1 074

Previous five years average imports

55

11

11

77

2001/02 Domestic Availability

9

77

1 122

1 207

2001 Production (rice in paddy terms)

4

112

1 122

1 237

2001 Production (rice in milled terms)

4

77

1 122

1 202

Possible stock drawdown

5

-

-

5

2001/02 Utilization

59

92

1 122

1 272

Food use

58

78

871

1 007

of which: local purchase requiremen

-

-

20

20

Non-food use

1

13

211

225

Exports or re-exports

-

-

20

20

Possible stock build up

-

-

20

20

2001/02 Import Requirement

50

15

-

65

Anticipated commercial imports

45

10

-

55

Food aid needs

5

5

-

10

Current Aid Position
 
 
 
 
Food aid pledges

-

-

-

-

of which: delivered

-

-

-

-

Donor-financed purchases

-

-

-

-

of which: for local use

-

-

-

-

for export

-

-

-

-

Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year)

7

10

112

130

Indexes
 
 
 
 
2001 Production as % of average:
115

FAO/GIEWS - December 2001

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