FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.2 - August 2002 p.51

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  SENEGAL

Area:196 720 sq km
Climate:Semi-arid in north, tropical wet-dry in south, with rains in June-October
Population:10.00 million (2002 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$490 (2000)
Specific characteristics of the country:Low-income food-deficit country; coastal Sahelian country
Logistics:Port capacity adequate; gateway to Mali.
Major foodcrops:Millet and sorghum, rice, maize, wheat
Marketing year:November/October; Lean season: August-September
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:61 percent

CURRENT SITUATION

Following substantial early rains in the south-east in mid-May, precipitation covered the rest of the country in June. However, rains were erratic in most regions, decreased significantly in early July and the weather remained almost dry until the end of the month. Cumulative rainfall as of late July was below the same period last year and below average almost everywhere. The dry spell has resulted in crop failure in several regions, necessitating replantings and earlier planted crops are suffering water stress. Grain eating birds are reported on off-season rice in the Senegal River valley. Grasshopper infestations are also reported in the centre, while army worms are present in the centre and the south.

A sharp rise in cereal prices on all markets across the country has been reported, which makes access to food difficult. In early August, the “Conseil national de concertation et de cooperation des ruraux” a grouping of about 20 farmers organizations launched an appeal to the Government to help the rural population “threatened by the drought and the famine”. Cereal import requirements in 2001/02 (November/October) are forecast at 850 000 tonnes.

Following renewed fighting between government troops and rebels in the southern Senegalese Province of Casamance, at least 9 000 refugees have reportedly crossed into The Gambia in early-May. In early July, WFP distributed emergency food rations to 2 047 people, mostly women and children, who had settled in 25 villages along the border.

CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2001/02 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)

 WheatRiceCoarse grainsTotal
     Previous five years average production-200737937
     Previous five years average imports23052847805
2001/02 Domestic Availability151878601 061
     2001 Production (rice in paddy terms)-2678401 107
     2001 Production (rice in milled terms)-1878401 026
     Possible stock drawdown15-2035
2001/02 Utilization2657628851 911
     Food use2607207461 726
       of which: local purchase requirement--55
     Non-food use542138185
     Exports or re-exports----
     Possible stock build up----
2001/02 Import Requirement25057525850
     Anticipated commercial imports25056025835
     Food aid needs-15-15
Current Aid Position    
     Food aid pledges-15-15
       of which: delivered-15-15
     Donor-financed purchases--33
       of which: for local use--33
                        for export----
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year)267275173
Indexes    
     2001 Production as % of average:   118
     2001/02 Import requirement as % of average:   106

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