Forest product market developments: the outlook for forest product markets to 2010 and the implications for improving management of the global forest estate

Working Paper prepared for the World Bank Forest Policy Implementation Review and Strategy

Adrian Whiteman , Forestry Officer (Sector Studies)

Christopher Brown, FAO Consultant

Gary Bull, FAO Consultant

Forestry Policy and Planning Division, Rome

July 1999

The designations employed and the presentation of material in this publication do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.

This document has been commissioned as part of the Forest Policy Implementation Review and Strategy Development process and is being circulated to encourage thought and discussion within the framework of the ongoing Forest Policy Implementation Review and Strategy. It is not a publication of the World Bank Group and the views expressed are those of the authors and should not be attributed to the World Bank Group.

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© FAO 1999

FOREWORD

LIST OF ACRONYMS AND ABBREVIATIONS USED IN THE REPORT

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

1. INTRODUCTION

2. FACTORS INFLUENCING THE SUPPLY AND DEMAND FOR WOOD AND WOOD PRODUCTS

2.1 Factors driving the demand for wood and wood products

2.2 Factors likely to affect the supply of wood and other fibre

2.3 Synthesis: major issues surrounding future supply and demand drivers

3. GLOBAL SUPPLY AND DEMAND analysis

3.1 Global supply and demand at a glance

3.2 Supply and demand for industrial wood and wood products by region