Economic and Social Department

 global information and early warning system on food and agriculture

 food outlook
No. 2 Rome, April 2003

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Highlights

BASIC FACTS OF THE WORLD CEREAL SITUATION

Cereals

MANY COUNTRIES THROUGHOUT THE WORLD FACE FOOD EMERGENCIES

Current Production and Crop Prospects

Trade

Carryover Stocks

Export Prices

Utilization

Food Aid

Cereal Import Bills

UN FLASH APPEAL CALLS FOR US$ 2.2 BILLION FOR IRAQ CRISIS

Meat and Meat Products

Milk and Milk Products

Fertilizers

Appendix Tables

STATISTICAL NOTE

Appendix Tables

A.1 a) - WORLD CEREAL PRODUCTION

Top
  Wheat Coarse Grains
  2000 2001 2002 estim. 2000 2001 2002 estim.
 (million tonnes)
ASIA 254.7 244.7 253.9 195.8 209.7 210.7
Bangladesh1.71.61.80.10.10.1
China 1/99.693.991.9117.2125.2133.9
India76.468.871.831.634.725.1
Indonesia---9.79.39.5
Iran, Islamic Rep. of8.19.512.52.83.54.5
Japan0.70.70.70.20.20.3
Kazakhstan9.112.712.62.13.03.1
Korea, D. P. R.0.10.10.11.11.61.8
Korea, Rep. of---0.30.50.4
Myanmar0.10.10.10.50.70.8
Pakistan22.019.019.22.22.12.1
Philippines---4.54.54.3
Saudi Arabia1.81.81.80.30.30.3
Thailand---4.94.74.2
Turkey21.018.520.010.910.210.8
Viet Nam---2.02.12.3
AFRICA 14.5 17.8 16.0 80.4 82.5 79.7
North Africa 9.7 12.9 11.7 8.6 10.0 10.1
Egypt6.66.36.67.57.87.7
Morocco1.43.33.40.61.31.9
Sub-Saharan Africa 4.8 5.0 4.3 71.8 72.5 69.6
Western Africa 0.1 0.1 0.1 31.3 33.4 33.2
Nigeria-0.10.119.319.619.8
Central Africa - - - 2.5 2.5 2.6
Eastern Africa 2.0 2.0 1.6 18.5 21.9 18.0
Ethiopia1.51.41.17.87.45.6
Sudan0.30.20.23.05.13.5
Southern Africa 2.7 2.9 2.6 19.4 14.7 15.8
Madagascar---0.20.20.2
South Africa2.42.52.311.17.910.5
Zimbabwe0.30.30.22.21.60.6
CENTRAL AMERICA 3.5 3.3 3.2 27.6 30.7 27.7
Mexico3.53.33.223.927.123.9
SOUTH AMERICA 20.0 21.2 18.3 63.5 70.9 64.5
Argentina16.015.312.521.719.618.7
Brazil1.73.32.933.143.037.0
Colombia---1.41.41.4
NORTH AMERICA 87.3 73.8 59.7 297.6 285.1 264.9
Canada26.520.615.724.222.719.8
United States60.853.344.0273.4262.4245.2
EUROPE 183.7 200.8 210.2 198.7 223.6 220.3
Bulgaria2.83.13.51.51.92.5
EU 105.492.1104.1108.7108.0106.7
Hungary3.75.23.96.39.97.8
Poland8.59.39.313.817.016.7
Romania4.47.84.46.010.39.8
Russian Fed.34.447.050.629.335.734.1
Ukraine11.021.320.513.817.117.4
OCEANIA 22.4 25.2 9.7 11.8 13.3 7.7
Australia22.124.99.411.212.87.0
WORLD 586.2 586.9 571.0 875.3 915.8 875.6
Developing countries272.8261.7264.0352.5380.7366.8
Developed countries313.4325.1307.0522.8535.0508.8
Source: FAO Note: Totals computed from unrounded data.
1/ Including Taiwan Province.

Table A.1 b) - WORLD CEREAL PRODUCTION

Top
  Rice (paddy) Total Cereals 1 /
  2000 2001 2002 estim. 2000 2001 2002 estim.
 (million tonnes)
ASIA 545.3 545.7 524.7 995.8 1000.1 989.4
Bangladesh37.637.839.539.439.541.3
China 2/189.8179.3176.5406.6398.4402.3
India127.3139.6116.6235.3243.1213.5
Indonesia51.950.551.461.659.860.9
Iran, Islamic Rep. of2.02.02.712.914.919.6
Japan11.911.311.112.812.312.1
Kazakhstan0.20.20.211.415.915.9
Korea, D. P. R.1.72.12.22.93.84.1
Korea, Rep. of7.27.56.77.57.97.0
Myanmar21.321.921.922.022.722.8
Pakistan7.25.86.631.426.928.0
Philippines12.513.113.217.017.617.5
Saudi Arabia---2.12.12.1
Thailand25.826.525.930.731.230.1
Turkey0.40.40.432.229.131.2
Viet Nam32.532.034.134.634.136.3
AFRICA 17.4 17.3 18.0 112.3 117.7 113.7
North Africa 6.0 5.3 6.1 24.3 28.2 27.9
Egypt6.05.26.020.119.320.3
Morocco---2.04.65.3
Sub-Saharan Africa 11.4 12.1 11.9 88.0 89.5 85.8
Western Africa 7.2 7.7 7.5 38.6 41.1 40.8
Nigeria3.33.43.522.723.023.4
Central Africa 0.4 0.4 0.4 3.0 3.0 3.0
Eastern Africa 1.0 1.0 1.0 21.5 24.9 20.7
Ethiopia---9.38.86.7
Sudan---3.35.43.8
Southern Africa 2.7 2.9 3.0 24.9 20.5 21.4
Madagascar2.52.72.72.62.82.9
South Africa---13.510.412.8
Zimbabwe---2.51.90.7
CENTRAL AMERICA 2.5 2.3 2.3 33.6 36.2 33.2
Mexico0.40.20.227.830.627.3
SOUTH AMERICA 21.0 20.1 19.6 104.5 112.2 102.4
Argentina0.90.90.738.535.731.9
Brazil11.410.410.746.256.750.6
Colombia2.32.32.43.73.73.8
NORTH AMERICA 8.7 9.8 9.6 393.5 368.7 334.2
Canada---50.743.335.4
United States8.79.89.6342.8325.4298.7
EUROPE 3.2 3.2 3.2 385.7 427.6 433.7
Bulgaria---4.35.06.0
EU2.52.62.6216.6202.7213.4
Hungary---10.015.111.7
Poland---22.326.326.0
Romania---10.518.114.2
Russian Fed.0.60.50.564.383.285.2
Ukraine0.10.10.124.938.537.9
OCEANIA 1.1 1.8 1.3 35.3 40.3 18.8
Australia1.11.81.334.439.417.7
WORLD 599.2 600.1 578.7 2 060.7 2 102.7 2 025.3
Developing countries573.9573.7553.1 1 199.2 1 216.2 1 183.9
Developed countries25.326.425.6861.5886.5841.4
Source: FAO Note: Totals computed from unrounded data.
1/ Rice is included in the cereal total in paddy terms. 2/ Including Taiwan Province

Table A.2 a) - WORLD IMPORTS OF CEREALS

Top
  Wheat (July/June) 1 / Coarse Grains (July/June)
  2000/01 2001/02
estim.
2002/03
f'cast
2000/01 2001/02
estim.
2002/03
f'cast
 (million tonnes)
ASIA 44.1 47.1 44.2 58.8 57.4 56.2
Bangladesh1.01.71.70.20.10.1
China1.52.01.67.17.77.6
Taiwan Province1.01.01.14.85.35.0
Georgia0.70.50.6---
India0.10.10.10.20.20.3
Indonesia4.14.04.01.61.11.3
Iran, Islamic Rep. of6.55.93.32.52.01.7
Iraq 3.23.03.00.30.10.1
Israel1.31.51.51.41.21.1
Japan5.75.75.920.419.919.9
Korea, D. P. R.0.60.60.60.80.50.4
Korea, Rep. of3.14.03.88.98.68.8
Malaysia1.31.31.42.72.42.4
Pakistan0.10.40.50.10.10.1
Philippines3.03.13.40.40.40.4
Saudi Arabia-0.10.16.27.06.6
Singapore0.30.30.30.20.20.2
Sri Lanka0.80.90.90.10.20.1
Syria0.10.30.11.60.90.5
Thailand0.80.80.8-0.30.4
Yemen1.92.02.00.20.30.2
AFRICA 25.8 24.9 26.3 14.4 15.1 18.0
North Africa 16.8 16.6 17.2 10.4 11.3 11.3
Algeria4.64.44.82.12.12.2
Egypt5.76.86.34.95.55.5
Morocco3.33.02.91.51.71.5
Tunisia1.61.31.81.11.51.4
Sub-Saharan Africa 9.0 8.3 9.1 4.0 3.8 6.7
Côte d'Ivoire0.30.30.3---
Ethiopia0.80.31.20.1-0.4
Kenya0.60.50.61.10.50.9
Nigeria1.61.71.70.10.10.1
Senegal0.30.30.3-0.1-
Sudan0.81.11.30.10.10.1
South Africa0.70.50.40.50.70.7
CENTRAL AMERICA 6.9 6.6 6.9 14.7 12.9 13.8
Cuba0.91.01.00.10.20.3
Dominican Rep.0.50.30.31.10.70.7
Mexico3.23.03.211.29.610.4
SOUTH AMERICA 12.7 11.8 11.6 7.5 6.2 6.4
Brazil7.46.86.81.80.60.7
Chile0.40.30.31.31.21.1
Colombia1.21.21.11.92.32.3
Peru1.41.31.30.91.11.1
Venezuela1.31.31.21.10.60.7
NORTH AMERICA 2.5 2.9 2.0 5.0 6.5 6.7
Canada0.10.10.22.63.94.5
United States2.42.91.82.42.62.2
EUROPE 9.6 13.3 14.3 8.1 7.4 6.7
Belarus0.40.50.40.30.30.2
EU 2/3.210.010.82.73.83.2
Poland0.80.30.31.20.30.3
Romania0.5-0.30.50.20.1
Russian Fed.1.60.50.40.80.80.9
Ukraine0.80.10.20.10.10.1
OCEANIA 0.5 0.4 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.2
New Zealand0.20.20.2---
WORLD 102.1 107.1 106.0 108.5 105.6 108.0
Developing countries79.080.178.973.069.772.7
Developed countries23.126.927.135.535.935.4
Source: FAO Note: Totals computed from unrounded data.
1/ Including wheat flour in wheat grain equivalent, but excluding semolina.
2/ Excluding trade between the EU member countries.

Table A.2 b) - WORLD IMPORTS OF CEREALS

Top
  Rice (milled) Total Cereals 1 /
  2001 2002
estim.
2003
f'cast
2000/01 2001/02
estim.
2002/03
f'cast
 (million tonnes)
ASIA 11.3 14.3 13.6 114.1 118.7 113.9
Bangladesh0.40.50.61.62.32.4
China0.30.40.48.810.09.5
Taiwan Province-0.10.25.96.56.2
Georgia---0.70.50.6
India---0.30.20.4
Indonesia1.53.53.47.18.68.7
Iran, Islamic Rep. of0.81.00.79.88.95.7
Iraq1.21.21.04.74.34.1
Israel0.10.10.12.82.82.7
Japan0.60.70.726.726.326.5
Korea, D. P. R.0.70.70.72.01.81.8
Korea, Rep. of0.10.20.212.112.812.8
Malaysia0.60.60.54.64.34.3
Pakistan---0.10.50.6
Philippines1.01.21.04.54.74.8
Saudi Arabia0.80.91.07.17.97.7
Singapore0.40.50.50.91.01.0
Sri Lanka0.10.10.11.01.11.1
Syria0.20.20.21.81.40.8
Thailand---0.81.11.2
Yemen0.20.30.32.42.52.5
AFRICA 7.4 8.2 7.7 47.6 48.2 52.0
North Africa 0.2 0.2 0.3 27.5 28.1 28.7
Algeria-0.10.16.76.57.1
Egypt---10.612.311.8
Morocco---4.84.74.4
Tunisia---2.72.73.2
Sub-Saharan Africa 7.2 7.9 7.4 20.1 20.0 23.2
Côte d'Ivoire1.11.00.91.41.31.2
Ethiopia---0.90.41.6
Kenya0.10.20.21.91.31.7
Nigeria1.61.81.73.33.63.5
Senegal0.70.70.71.01.00.9
Sudan---1.01.31.4
South Africa0.50.60.61.81.81.7
CENTRAL AMERICA 1.6 1.9 2.0 23.2 21.5 22.7
Cuba0.50.60.61.51.71.8
Dominican Rep.---1.61.01.0
Mexico0.50.50.614.813.214.2
SOUTH AMERICA 1.0 0.8 0.9 21.3 18.8 18.9
Brazil0.70.60.69.98.08.0
Chile0.10.10.11.81.51.5
Colombia0.20.10.13.23.63.5
Peru0.1--2.42.42.4
Venezuela--0.12.51.92.0
NORTH AMERICA 0.7 0.7 0.7 8.2 10.1 9.4
Canada0.30.30.33.04.25.0
United States0.40.40.45.25.94.4
EUROPE 1.6 1.8 1.6 19.3 22.5 22.7
Belarus---0.70.80.7
EU 2/0.70.70.76.614.514.7
Poland0.10.10.12.10.70.7
Romania0.10.10.11.10.30.5
Russian Fed.0.30.50.42.71.71.7
Ukraine0.10.10.10.90.30.4
OCEANIA 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.9 0.9 1.3
New Zealand---0.30.20.2
WORLD 24.1 28.1 26.8 3/ 234.7 240.7 240.9
Developing countries20.223.922.8172.2173.7174.3
Developed countries3.94.24.062.567.166.5
Source: FAO Note: Totals computed from unrounded data.
1/ Trade in rice refers to the calendar year of the second year shown.
2/ Excluding trade between the EU member countries.
3/ Highly tentative.

Table A.3 a) - WORLD EXPORTS OF CEREALS

Top
  Wheat (July/June) 1 / Coarse Grains (July/June)
  2000/01 2001/02
estim.
2002/03
f'cast
2000/01 2001/02
estim.
2002/03
f'cast
 (million tonnes)
ASIA 10.1 11.6 15.1 11.6 8.2 14.0
China 2/0.60.91.010.06.412.0
India2.43.55.0---
Indonesia---0.10.10.1
Japan0.40.40.4---
Kazakhstan3.73.85.00.40.40.4
Myanmar---0.10.10.2
Pakistan0.30.61.0---
Syria0.10.50.5---
Thailand---0.30.20.1
Turkey1.60.61.00.10.60.7
Viet Nam------
AFRICA 0.4 0.4 0.5 2.9 2.4 2.1
Egypt------
Ethiopia---0.20.2-
Nigeria---0.20.10.1
South Africa0.10.10.31.61.41.3
Sudan---0.10.10.1
Uganda---0.30.30.1
CENTRAL AMERICA 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.3
SOUTH AMERICA 10.8 11.0 7.6 15.5 15.0 12.2
Argentina10.711.07.512.89.610.0
Brazil---2.35.02.0
Paraguay-0.10.10.20.30.2
Uruguay0.1-0.10.10.10.1
NORTH AMERICA 44.6 42.1 35.5 58.9 59.5 57.4
Canada16.816.09.73.83.02.3
United States27.826.125.955.056.555.0
EUROPE 17.6 26.8 38.2 14.1 16.4 20.0
Bulgaria0.50.81.00.30.30.7
Czech Rep.0.40.80.5-0.30.3
EU 3/14.511.415.810.65.48.6
Hungary0.92.10.70.83.11.5
Romania0.10.80.60.10.60.6
Russian Fed.0.74.510.00.52.63.0
Ukraine0.15.58.01.63.54.2
OCEANIA 16.5 16.0 8.5 4.4 4.9 2.1
Australia16.516.08.54.44.82.0
WORLD 100.7 108.6 106.0 107.8 106.6 108.0
Developing countries17.819.318.128.424.026.8
Developed countries82.989.387.979.482.681.2
Source: FAO
Note: Totals computed from unrounded data.
1/ Including wheat flour in wheat grain equivalent, but excluding semolina.
2/ Including Taiwan Province.
3/ Excluding trade between the EU member countries.

Table A.3 b) - WORLD EXPORTS OF CEREALS

Top
  Rice (milled) Total Cereals 1 /
  2001 2002
estim.
2003
f'cast
2000/01 2001/02
estim.
2002/03
f'cast
 (million tonnes)
ASIA 18.5 22.5 21.0 40.1 42.3 50.0
China 2/2.02.12.112.69.415.1
India1.96.64.54.310.19.5
Indonesia---0.10.10.1
Japan0.60.60.51.01.00.9
Kazakhstan---4.04.25.4
Myanmar0.70.70.70.80.80.9
Pakistan2.31.61.72.52.22.7
Syria---0.10.50.5
Thailand7.57.27.57.87.47.6
Turkey---1.71.21.7
Viet Nam3.53.23.93.53.33.9
AFRICA 0.7 0.4 0.6 4.1 3.2 3.2
Egypt0.70.40.60.70.40.6
Ethiopia---0.20.2-
Nigeria---0.20.10.1
South Africa---1.71.51.6
Sudan---0.10.10.1
Uganda---0.30.30.1
CENTRAL AMERICA - - - 1.1 1.0 1.0
SOUTH AMERICA 1.5 1.2 1.4 27.8 27.2 21.2
Argentina0.40.20.323.920.717.8
Brazil---2.35.02.0
Paraguay---0.20.40.2
Uruguay0.80.60.71.00.70.8
NORTH AMERICA 2.5 3.3 3.4 106.0 104.9 96.3
Canada---20.619.012.0
United States2.53.33.485.485.984.3
EUROPE 0.2 0.3 0.3 31.9 43.4 58.5
Bulgaria---0.81.11.7
Czech Rep.---0.51.10.8
EU 3/0.20.30.325.317.024.7
Hungary---1.75.22.2
Romania---0.21.41.2
Russian Fed.---1.37.013.0
Ukraine---1.79.012.2
OCEANIA 0.6 0.4 0.2 21.6 21.3 10.8
Australia0.60.40.221.621.210.7
WORLD 24.1 28.1 26.8 4/ 232.6 243.3 240.9
Developing countries20.223.622.566.366.967.4
Developed countries4.04.54.4166.3176.4173.5
Source: FAO
Note: Totals computed from unrounded data.
1/ Trade in rice refers to the calendar year of the second year shown.
2/ Including Taiwan Province.
3/ Excluding trade between the EU member countries.
4/ Highly tentative.

Table A.4 – CEREALS: Supply and Utilization in Main Exporting Countries (National Crop Years)

Top
  Wheat 1/ Coarse Grains 2/ Rice (milled basis)
  2000/01 2001/02
estim.
2002/03
f'cast
2000/01 2001/02
estim.
2002/03
f'cast
2000/01 2001/02
estim.
2002/03
f'cast
 (million tonnes)
  UNITED STATES (June/May) UNITED STATES UNITED STATES (Aug./July)
Opening stocks25.923.821.148.952.745.10.90.91.2
Production60.853.344.0273.4262.3245.45.96.76.6
Imports2.42.91.82.42.32.40.30.40.4
Total Supply 89.1 80.0 66.9 324.7 317.3 292.8 7.1 8.08.2
Domestic use36.432.729.9215.3217.5211.33.73.93.9
Exports28.926.225.056.654.753.12.62.93.3
Closing stocks23.821.112.052.745.128.50.91.21.0
  CANADA (August/July) CANADA THAILAND (Nov./Oct.) 3/
Opening stocks7.79.76.55.84.43.61.71.82.5
Production26.520.615.724.222.719.817.117.617.2
Imports0.10.10.22.94.14.40.00.00.0
Total Supply 34.3 30.3 22.5 32.9 31.2 27.7 18.8 19.4 19.7
Domestic use7.67.68.323.924.222.29.49.69.7
Exports17.116.29.74.63.42.47.57.27.5
Closing stocks9.76.54.54.43.63.11.82.52.5
  ARGENTINA (Dec./Nov.) ARGENTINA CHINA (Jan./Dec.) 3/ 4/
Opening stocks0.60.60.70.81.21.2113.0106.592.9
Production16.015.312.521.719.618.5130.1122.9121.0
Imports0.00.00.00.00.00.00.30.40.4
Total Supply 16.5 15.8 13.2 22.6 20.9 19.8 243.4 229.8 214.3
Domestic use4.84.94.98.49.48.9134.9134.8134.0
Exports11.210.37.713.010.29.82.02.12.1
Closing stocks0.60.70.61.21.21.0106.592.978.2
  AUSTRALIA (Oct./Sept.) AUSTRALIA PAKISTAN (Nov./Oct.) 3/
Opening stocks3.33.85.70.71.22.31.10.90.5
Production22.124.99.411.212.87.04.83.94.4
Imports0.00.00.40.00.00.20.00.00.0
Total Supply 25.5 28.6 15.4 12.0 14.0 9.4 5.9 4.8 4.9
Domestic use5.66.45.46.16.86.72.72.72.8
Exports16.116.58.34.64.91.72.31.61.7
Closing stocks3.85.71.71.22.30.90.90.50.4
  EU (July/June) 5/ EU 5/ VIET NAM (Nov./Oct.) 3/
Opening stocks12.914.513.220.817.020.33.14.04.5
Production105.492.1104.1108.7108.0106.721.721.322.7
Imports3.210.010.82.73.83.20.00.00.0
Total Supply 121.5 116.6 128.1 132.2 128.8 130.2 24.8 25.3 27.2
Domestic use92.491.996.6104.7103.1102.217.317.618.4
Exports14.611.516.010.65.48.63.53.23.9
Closing stocks14.513.215.517.020.319.44.04.54.9
TOTAL ABOVE          
Opening stocks50.452.347.277.076.672.4119.7114.1101.6
Production230.8206.1185.6439.2425.4397.4179.7172.4171.9
Imports5.713.013.18.110.210.20.60.80.8
Total Supply 286.9 271.4 246.0 524.3 512.2 480.0 300.0 287.3 274.4
Domestic use146.7143.5145.1358.4361.1351.3168.0168.6168.9
Exports87.980.766.789.478.675.817.817.118.5
Closing stocks52.347.234.376.672.452.9114.1101.686.9
Source: FAO Note: Totals computed from unrounded data.
1/ Trade data include wheat flour in wheat grain equivalent. For the EU semolina is also included.
2/ Argentina (Dec./Nov.) for rye, barley and oats, (March/February) for maize and sorghum; Australia (November/October) for rye, barley and oats, (March/February) for maize and sorghum; Canada (August/July); EU (July/June); United States (June/May) for rye, barley and oats, (September/August) for maize and sorghum.
3/ Rice trade data refer to the calendar year of the second year shown.
4/ Including Taiwan province.
5/ Excluding trade between the EU member countries.

Table A.5 - WORLD CEREAL STOCKS: Estimated Total Carryovers of Cereals 1/

Top
  Crop Years ending in:
  1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002
estim.
2003
f’cast
 (million tonnes)
TOTAL CEREALS 617.7 661.1 683.1 681.0 628.8 577.5 469.7
Wheat 227.4 252.9 259.5 253.9 240.3 218.1 170.4
held by:       
- main exporters 2/36.039.350.750.452.347.234.3
- others191.4213.7208.7203.5188.0170.9136.2
Coarse Grains 238.8 255.5 266.6 259.3 225.7 211.0 176.3
held by:       
- main exporters 2/46.769.379.777.076.672.452.9
- others192.0186.2186.9182.3149.2138.6123.4
Rice (milled basis) 151.6 152.6 157.1 167.8 162.8 148.4 123.0
held by:       
- main exporters 2/111.8115.7117.2119.7114.1101.686.9
excl. China 3/4.54.54.16.77.68.78.7
- others39.836.939.848.148.646.736.0
BY REGIONS       
Developed Countries 121.6 169.2 171.1 164.7 160.1 162.8 130.2
Australia3.23.83.04.25.18.22.8
EU24.435.136.634.231.933.935.3
Canada14.010.412.513.614.110.27.6
Hungary2.32.82.62.01.31.61.6
Japan6.76.76.05.75.34.85.1
Poland4.24.04.23.71.52.21.9
Romania1.25.03.53.61.02.81.6
Russian Fed.6.518.05.84.96.59.68.0
South Africa2.43.72.31.73.01.82.9
Ukraine3.64.52.22.22.35.05.1
United States39.958.777.875.677.467.441.5
Developing Countries 496.1 491.9 512.1 516.3 468.8 414.6 339.5
Asia 457.5 456.0 473.2 478.4 434.0 378.0 309.5
China 3/374.0366.6374.7367.6318.7271.2223.9
India35.342.947.357.462.158.342.6
Indonesia6.95.55.65.95.73.64.0
Iran, Islamic Rep. of3.52.01.62.01.11.31.3
Korea, Rep. of2.32.82.83.33.23.83.6
Pakistan6.37.18.67.97.94.71.2
Philippines2.02.02.61.92.01.92.1
Syria5.14.04.24.03.64.44.1
Turkey6.87.49.48.38.76.86.0
Africa 23.8 21.1 26.4 24.1 21.7 21.6 18.4
Algeria2.82.12.62.01.31.71.2
Egypt2.93.74.54.13.93.42.7
Ethiopia1.61.21.41.41.81.20.2
Morocco3.82.54.73.01.81.92.1
Nigeria1.91.91.91.62.22.52.4
Tunisia2.11.91.92.12.12.22.0
Central America 7.0 5.1 6.2 6.3 5.8 6.2 4.7
Mexico5.73.95.04.84.55.03.6
South America 7.7 9.6 6.2 7.4 7.1 8.7 6.8
Argentina2.52.11.71.61.92.01.6
Brazil2.94.91.52.71.94.33.2
        
Source: FAO Note: Based on official and unofficial estimates. Totals computed from unrounded data.
1/ Stock data are based on an aggregate of carryovers at the end of national crop years and do not represent world stock levels at any point in time.
2/ The major wheat and coarse grains exporters are Argentina, Australia, Canada, the EU and the United States. The major rice exporters are China (including Taiwan Province), Pakistan, Thailand, the United States and Viet Nam. See Table A.4 for country details.
3/ Including Taiwan Province.

Table A.6 – SELECTED EXPORT PRICES OF CEREALS AND SOYBEANS

Top
  Wheat Maize Sorghum Soybeans
U.S. No.2 Hard
Red Winter Ord.
Prot.
1 /
U.S. Soft Red
Winter No.2
1 /
Argentina
Trigo Pan
2 /
U.S. No.2
Yellow
1 /
Argentina
2 /
U.S. No.2
Yellow
1 /
U.S. No.2
Yellow
1 /
 (US$/tonne)
July/June       
1998/1999120100116959892203
1999/200011297112919089190
2000/2001128101124868493184
2001/2002127113119908995182.0
2002 – March126116110908594178.0
September189154153115108120221.0
October 196159155110105121212.0
November180159136109108122225.0
December 165146130107104117223
2003 – January 153138138106102113225
February 15514214610699113226
March I 15013615010798107224
II 14712815110797102225
III14412814910393104224
IV14212414710391103223
Sources: International Grain Council and USDA.
1/ Delivered U.S. Gulf ports. 2/ Up River f.o.b.

Table A.7 - PRICE INDICES AND SELECTED EXPORT PRICES FOR RICE

Top
  Export Prices FAO Indices
Calendar years Thai 100% B Thai broken U.S. Long grain Pakistani Basmati Total Indica Japonica Aromatic
1 / 2 / 3 / 4 /  High quality Low quality  
January/December(U.S.$/tonne)(1998-2000=100)
19992531923334861019910110598
20002071432714188484838389
20011771352643327474747669
20021971512073667273756774
2002 - March1951492023566970716768
November1901572153487373776876
December1931512153417272756775
2003 - January 2031512043697372756783
February2011492003697272756685
March I198147200369)     
II198147200n.a.) 7374756591
III199142309n.a.)    
Sources: FAO for indices. Rice prices: Jackson Son & Co. (London) Ltd. and other public sources.
Note: The FAO Rice Price Index is based on 16 rice export quotations. 'Quality' is defined by the precentage of broken kernels, with high (low) quality referring to rice with less (equal to or more) than 20 percent brokens. The Sub-Index for Aromatic Rice follows movements in prices of Basmati and Fragrant rice.
1/ White rice, 100% second grade, f.o.b. Bangkok, indicative traded prices. 2/ A1 super, f.o.b. Bangkok, indicative traded prices. 3/ U.S. No.2, 4% brokens f.o.b. 4/ Basmati: ordinary, f.o.b. Karachi.

Table A.8 – PRICE INDICES AND SELECTED INTERNATIONAL PRICES FOR OILCROP PRODUCTS

Top
  FAO Indices International Prices
Marketing years Oilseeds Edible/Soap Fats/Oils Oilcakes/ Meals Soybeans 1/ Soybean Oil 2/ Palm Oil 3/ Soybean Cake 4/ Rapeseed Meal 5/
October/September(1990-92=100)(U.S.$/tonne)
          
1997/98 109154116256634641197138
1998/99 8912582209483514149104
1999/00Oct.-Mar.839887206374356176122
 Apr.-Sep848490213337318184125
2000/01Oct.-Mar.827698206314254198146
 Apr.-Sep828694197356289178135
2001/02Oct.-Mar.8395100188378323175135
 Apr.-Sep90107104213445392174122
2002/03Oct.-Mar.103124106241543442186133
Sources: FAO and Oil World.
Note: The FAO indices are calculated using the Laspeyres formula; the weights used are the average export values of each commodity for the 1990-92 period. The indices are based on the international prices of five selected seeds, ten selected oils and fats and seven selected cakes and meals.
1/ Soybeans (US, No.2 yellow, cif Rotterdam). 2/ Soybean oil (Dutch, fob ex-mill). 3/ Palm oil (Crude, cif North West Europe). 4/ Soybean cake (Pellets, 44/45%, Argentina, cif Rotterdam). 5/ Rapeseed meal (34%, Hamburg, fob ex-mill).

Table A.9 - WHEAT AND MAIZE FUTURES PRICES

Top
  May July September December
this year last year this year last year this year last year this year last year
 (US$/tonne)
WHEAT        
February 18122104118105119107123110
25118104116105118106121110
March 4117102115105116106120110
11 111101111103112105116109
18109102108104110106113110
25103104104105106107110111
MAIZE        
February 189584968696899692
259282938594879490
March 49382948594879491
11 9382938593879491
189081918491869289
259080908390859188
Source: Chicago Board of Trade

Table A.10 - OCEAN FREIGHT RATES FOR WHEAT

Top
  From U.S. Gulf ports to: From North Pacific ports to:
Rotterdam
1/
CIS
Black Sea
1/ 2/
Egypt
(Alexandria)
1/
Bangladesh
1/
China
1 /
Japan
1/
 (US$/tonne)
July/June      
1997/989.6018.1011.7020.1727.0028.00
1998/999.4225.459.2518.7527.0029.17
1999/200012.6040.9713.6518.5027.0032.83
2000/200113.1040.9715.0018.3127.0036.31
2001/200211.0040.9715.0018.5026.9034.19
2002 - March10.5040.9715.0018.5027.0033.00
August10.7540.9715.0018.5027.0033.00
September10.7540.9715.0018.5027.0033.00
October10.7540.9715.0018.5027.0029.00
November10.7540.9715.0018.5027.0029.00
December10.7540.9715.0018.5027.0029.00
2003 - January10.7540.9715.0018.5027.0029.00
February12.0040.9715.0018.5027.0029.00
March12.0040.9717.0026.0027.0029.00
Source: International Grain Council
Note: Estimated mid-month rates based on current chartering practices for vessels ready to load three to four weeks ahead.
1/ Size of vessels: Rotterdam over 40 000 tonnes; CIS 20-40 000 tonnes; Egypt over 30 000 tonnes; Bangladesh over 40 000 tonnes; China 20-35 000 tonnes; Japan 15-24 999 tonnes.
2/ Excludes CIS and United States flag vessels.

Table A.11 - SELECTED INTERNATIONAL COMMODITY PRICES

Top
  Currency
and Unit
Effective
Date
Latest
Quotation
1 month
ago
1 year
ago
Average
1989-91
Sugar (I.S.A. daily price)US cents per lb31.03.038.068.876.8311.4
Coffee (I.C.O. daily price)US cents per lb01.04.0349.750.353.076.7
Cocoa (I.C.C.O. daily price)US cents per lb01.04.0387.989.772.056.0
Tea (total tea, Mombasa)US$ per kg.25.03.031.551.401.561.5
Bananas (Central America,€ per tonne30.03.031 106 1/991 1/1 157 1/566
f.o.b., Hamburg)  602 2/836 2/ 914 2/ 
Cotton (COTLOOK, index “A” 1-3/32")US cents per lb14.03.0360.758.741.978.5
Wool (64's, London)Pence per kg14.03.03572570460466
Source: FAO
1/ EC duty paid, estimated. 2/ Estimated price for EFTA markets.

Table A.12 - SHIPMENTS OF FOOD AID IN CEREALS, July/June

Top
  1996/97 1997/98 1998/99 1999/00 2000/01 2001/02 1/
Donors      estim.
 (thousand tonnes, grain equivalent 2/ )
Australia170296270255218181
Canada373384332413182230
China171122170215434392
EU1 9591 7412 4752 2961 9891 107
of which:      
Community1 1118791 5591 3901 008501
National Action849862916906981606
Austria 12 9 1 9 6 2
Belgium 45 31 62 26 26 6
Denmark 73 61 84 67 65 31
Finland 4 1 6 10 11 16
France 207 209 95 180 264 166
Germany 212 219 197 185 174 102
Greece 25 15 4 12 0 0
Ireland 6 10 4 9 13 13
Italy 83 75 143 171 83 59
Luxembourg 2 8 4 4 4 9
Netherlands 92 89 72 96 132 98
Spain 0 3 38 21 12 7
Sweden 44 72 110 50 78 60
United Kingdom 103 141 214 67 113 36
India71125401
Japan2853561 136340850510
Norway324566635947
Switzerland434237472418
United States2 2372 7506 3817 1815 1764 820
WFP purchases17113389010
Others donors282436365321679117
Total shipments 5 575 6 195 11 261 11 172 9 702 7 433
of which:      
Wheat3 5904 0607 6307 7876 0554 543
Rice6427231 6891 0061 4671 027
Coarse grains1 3431 4121 9412 3802 1801 862
of which to:      
Africa2 0222 2662 5612 8973 8552 288
Asia2 5273 1355 3664 3034 5013 877
Latin America597517965799612693
Others4302772 3703 172734575
to Special Country Groupings 3/:      
LIFDCs (83 countries)4 6905 5228 4197 6498 2526 305
LDCs (49 countries)2 6472 8243 9714 0534 2143 005
NFIDCs (22 countries)6077438849891 253808
Channelled multilaterally2 3172 2003 3693 2163 8922 856
As percent of Total shipments423630294038
SOURCE: World Food Programme.
1/ As of february 2003.
2/ To express cereal food aid in grain equivalent, wheat, rice and coarse grains are counted on a one to one basis; for grain products, appropriate conversion factors are used to determine the grain equivalent.
3/ Same countries may appear in more than one special country groupings. For definitions see Statistical Note on the last page of this report.

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